Get those oranges.
Deadspin reader Matt, an engineering student at Tulane, sent them this e-mail today with a mathematical approach to determine the probability of landing on the different squares on a Monopoly board.
I study math in college and actually did a project on this and there have been numerous studies to predict the best strategies in Monopoly. Because it is all based on random chance, the exact probabilities can be determined by use of a Markov Chain. The “Go to Jail” square acts as a kind of sink, depriving the spaces after it of opportunities to be landed on, where as the “Jail” square acts as a source and allows spaces after it to get landed on more frequently. I have attached an exact probability distribution for your enjoyment. As you can see the Orange spaces have some of the highest probabilities.
There’s more to the strategy here.